Paulie's Picks: 2025 BMW Championship

After some suspense and a dramatic playoff in Memphis, the PGA Tour’s FedEx Cup Playoffs head to Maryland for the BMW Championship. The second round of playoffs features the top 50 players in the FedEx Cup standings, and the top 30 at the end of the week will advance to the Tour Championship. 

The BMW Championship rotates courses, and this year’s event is held at Caves Valley, which previously played host to the tournament in 2021 and featured an epic duel between Patrick Cantlay and Bryson DeChambeau. The course has undergone significant renovations since 2021 and now has completely new greens and will play to a par 70. With a renovation and some altered holes, I wouldn’t bank much on success in 2021 in terms of predicting success in 2025. With that being said, I would limit your exposure in bets during a week where you have a lot of unknowns in terms of course fit and motivation, as many players are already guaranteed to make the Tour Championship next week. I know most of you will still be betting this week, so here are the two best bets I would make if you decide to gamble this week:

Ben Griffin: Top 20, -120

Ben Griffin has played great in the second half of the season. He has finished in the top 14 in eight of his last ten starts. Getting a line of -120 for him to finish top 20 in a field of only 50 players seems a bit too cheap. A high finish this week likely seals his place on the Ryder Cup team.

Matt Fitzpatrick: Top 20, -115

Matt Fitzpatrick has played great the last few months, finishing eighth or better in four of his last five events. He sits 40th in points, so he needs a high finish to advance to East Lake next week. Similar to Griffin, I’m surprised to see Fitz at such a low price.