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September 10, 2025
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Paulie's Picks: 2025 Procore Championship

Two players to target in a loaded field

Max Homa
Max Homa

The FedEx Cup Fall season begins with the 2025 Procore Championship, held at the Silverado Resort in Napa, California. This year is a bit different in that the U.S. Ryder Cup team is using the event as a warmup for the Ryder Cup at Bethpage Black. 

Ten of the 12 U.S. players (Bryson DeChambeau is ineligible and Xander Schauffele has a newborn) are competing in an event they normally do not play. That creates a bit of unknown in the betting market this week. Are these players focusing on winning this tournament or just going through the motions to make sure their games peak in a few weeks? To me, I would avoid the outright winner market as it’s very likely that one of these players wins just based on overall skill level. There may be some crazy results as most players in the field have not played competitively in a month, so it is best to lower your bet amounts and temper expectations. However, I do think there will be some value to be had in finishing position props, such as top 20s and top 40s. Let’s take a look at two players to wager on this week:

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Max Homa: Top 20, +200

Max Homa has played this event almost every year he’s been on Tour, with two wins and a seventh-place finish in the last four years. He has been in a bit of a slump over the last year and a half and has been off for a month now, but his game is trending in the right direction. Max has gained strokes both off the tee and on approach in each of his last three events. When was the last time he did that? July 2023!  This seems to be a good buy-low spot for Homa, who may be returning to form on one of the best courses on Tour for his game.

Matt Kuchar: Top 40, -120

Matt Kuchar has played a reduced schedule in 2025 with just 13 events so far. He has finished worse than 56th just twice. Over his last five events, he has gained 12 strokes on approach, which is right in line with his long-term approach numbers prior to his slump over the last few years. He has played this event each of the last four years, with finishes of 13-7-12-36. Similar to Homa, this seems like a good buy-low spot.

About the author

Paulie

Paulie is Fried Egg Golf's resident gambling expert (not to be confused with PJ Clark, who is our resident PGA Tour Champions gambling expert).

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